Setting aside what it says about me and my priorities, I will never forget where I was during certain key moments in Yankees’ hot stove history. I was at work not working when I logged onto ESPN and discovered the Yankees had traded for Alex Rodriguez. I was in an airport waiting to fly to London when I found out the team had signed Johnny Damon. I was sitting at my desk in my room when I discovered the Yankees had signed Mark Teixeira. I was sitting in a bar with my buddy Omar, around 11pm on Friday night, when I saw the news ticker report that the Yankees had signed Hiroki Kuroda. A moment later my jaw hit the floor when I saw the Yankees had also traded Jesus Montero for Michael Pineda. That is one more moment I’ll never forget.
Reaction to the deal has been quick and plentiful. I’ll add my $0.02 on what happened at the end of this post. But amid all the reaction to the trade I don’t believe anyone here at TYA has actually looked more closely at Pineda’s numbers. Allow me to fill that void with the table below.
The numbers above come from Fangraphs. They show what Pineda did for the entire season in 2011, as well as what he did on a monthly basis. Given that he played in a very friendly pitcher’s park, I want to add that his ERA- was 95 and his FIP- was 88. In short, this guy is an excellent young pitcher. The Yankees are lucky to have him. Yes, his ERA did drift up in the second half of the season, but his peripherals stayed right where they needed to be. His FIP and xFIP remained strong, and he struck batters out at a pace comparable to David Robertson without issuing too many free passes. He gave up too many homers, but he’s young and will get better.
How solid a first season was this for Pineda? In CC Sabathia‘s rookie season he pitched 180.1 innings, with an ERA of 4.39 and a FIP of 4.22 while striking out 8.53 per nine innings and walking 4.74. Pineda’s freshman year was better. It is important to note that CC was younger his first season in the pros than Pineda was. However, if you look at CC’s 2003 season, when he was 22 years old, his line was actually similar to Pineda’s. CC tossed 197.2 innings posting a 3.60 ERA and a 3.95 FIP. However, CC struck out just 6.42 per nine innings while walking 3.01. That is similar to what Pineda did his rookie year, except with worse peripherals.
This is meant to say that Michael Pineda can turn into CC Sabathia. I’ll write that again: Michael Pineda can turn into CC Sabathia. The numbers bear this out, as does his impressive 6’7″, 260lbs frame. If Pineda continues to develop at a normal pace for a pitcher he can become one of the best in the game. And now he’s a Yankee.
Critics of the deal will correctly point out that Jesus Montero could very well develop into Miguel Cabrera. They are correct, but that’s why it’s a trade. The Yankees traded a potential Miguel Cabrera for a potential CC Sabathia. Some folks would make that trade, others wouldn’t. This is a high risk high reward deal for both teams and the Yankees got the more established of the two players.
On a final note, while I sympathize with Yankee fans who are upset that the team traded its best hitting prospect since Derek Jeter, this is the right move for the team. This is the Yankee move, the win-now move. It may be true that in a few years time the Yankees will need the kind of middle of the order bat that Montero projects to be, but it is equally true that they don’t need it right now. What is more is that in a few years the Yankees will have many holes in their lineup, many more than Jesus Montero alone could fill. Given the ages of Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez and Mark Teixeira, the Yankees have a window to win another championship that is slowly closing, at least with the current roster. However, while that window is open the Yankees continue to have one of baseball’s best offenses. So long as they have that kind of offensive fire power the Yankees will remain contenders. Now, they also have one of the deepest rotations in all of baseball. The combination makes them favorites to go far into the playoffs for the next two seasons, farther than they figured to go on Thursday night. Keeping Jesus Montero would mean the Yankees were planning for the next five seasons. Trading him is how they can potentially win it all in the next two seasons. That’s how the Yankees play baseball.
LIKE TYA ON FACEBOOK
- TYA To Merge With It’s About The Money, Stupid
- What about Kevin Youkilis?
- Teix Now Front And Center On The “Needs To Produce” Radar
- Cashman: Heathcott A Dark Horse Candidate
- A Dog Chasing Cars
- Outfield Trade Targets
- The Problem With Brett Gardner
- A Look At Relief Prospect Branden Pinder
- The Yankees Should Be Realistic, Put Team on Short Leash in 2013
- Briefly discussing the internal options to replace Curtis Granderson
- Brand bc on Briefly discussing the internal options to replace Curtis Granderson
- http://2804lasela.wordpress.com/ on TYA Predictions: Bold predictions for 2012
- the tao of badass pdf on What about Austin Romine?
- Joey Parkhill on Dante Bichette Jr’s Swing
- lululemon factory outlet on Contact Us
- Cary on Will R.A. Dickey’s Knuckleball Succeed In A Domed Stadium?
- Brenna on Links: Prospects, Support for A-Rod, Mariano is Love and Who’s in Center?
- Louis Vuitton Outlet Sale Singapore on The Monthly Prospector: April Edition
- Authentic Louis Vuitton Outlet Store on The Monthly Prospector: June Edition
- Louis Vuitton Outlet San Diego on Banuelos to Undergo Tommy John Surgery, Yankees Prospectors to Undergo Grief Counseling
TagsA.J. Burnett Alex Rodriguez Andy Pettitte Austin Romine Baltimore Orioles Bartolo Colon Boston Red Sox Brett Gardner Brian Cashman Bullpen CC Sabathia Chien-Ming Wang Cliff Lee Curtis Granderson David Robertson Dellin Betances Derek Jeter Francisco Cervelli Freddy Garcia Game Recap Hiroki Kuroda Ivan Nova Javier Vazquez Jesus Montero Joba Chamberlain Joe Girardi Johnny Damon Jorge Posada Manny Banuelos Mariano Rivera Mark Teixeira Melky Cabrera Michael Pineda New York New York Yankees Nick Johnson Nick Swisher Phil Hughes Prospects Rafael Soriano Red Sox Robinson Cano Russell Martin Tampa Bay Rays Yankees