David Robertson is becoming a Yankee fan favorite. In the minds of the fans, he’s handsome, charitable, and always missing bats. In the minds of his opponents, he’s clever, got filthy stuff, and always missing bats. In my mind, he’s unsustainable. In 2011, David Robertson led the American League in ERA, K/9, was second in FIP, but also second in LOB%. For better or for worse, he appears to be the same pitcher in 2012 as he was last year.
Robertson’s one weakness stems from his inability to keep men off base. His 89.8% left on base percentage and .289 BABIP, compared to his career .320 BABIP, indicate just how lucky he was in 2011. While you might thiN. Robertson could be good enough to maintain these numbers, even the greatest reliever of all time and most clutch player in recent Yankee history, Mariano Rivera, has a career 80.1% LOB. Robertson is a well above-average relief pitcher, but due to below-average control issues, he finds himself with too many players on base. Eventually his luck will end, and we’ll see him for the very good strikeout pitcher he is, with his one major flaw.
After the 2011 season, writers showed appreciation for the reliever in the Cy Young ballot, and even on the MVP ballot. No doubt there are scouts and executives out there that will show arguably the best American League reliever in 2011 similar appreciation. At this point, it would appear that Robertson’s value is at its highest. What kind of value does he have? As a player much younger, cheaper, with more team control, and with better numbers than the likes of Mike Adams, we can probably expect a bigger return. Right before the trade deadline in 2011, Adams was traded from the Padres to the Rangers for pitching prospects Robert Erlin and Joe Wieland. There two prospects rated by John Sickels in 2012 were rated B+, and ranked #5 and #6 in the Padres system now. To give you some comparison, the Yankees only had one B+ in their system, Gary Sanchez, while Manny Banuelos was considered borderline. So imagine a bigger return than two B+ players.
The relief pitching trade market has clearly gotten out of hand, and it’s something the Yankees could take advantage of, but would a contending team actually trade such a successful reliever? The fact is that the team and the organization are bursting with pitching depth. Aside from what could arguably be considered the best bullpen in baseball right now, it looks like Phil Hughes might return to his setup role, along with David Aardsma who is rehabbing from Tommy John surgery, and possibly even Joba Chamberlain by the end of the year. This doesn’t even count the arms maturing in Triple-A which looked major league ready in the spring. Even as an 8th inning pitcher, Rafael Soriano has the ability pitch even better than Robertson.
So what could the Yankees get in return for the reliever? Aside from a great package of prospects, I think a contending team will look for more immediate helpful pieces. At the end of the year the team will lose Nick Swisher, with a budget to meet in 2014 and no answer for the opening outfield spot in the next couple of year, Robertson could be a huge cornerstone in an outfielder deal. I particularly like Dominic Brown as a buy low candidate, but I think there are even more options out there. It’s hard to speculate on who will be in need of a relief pitcher and who will be available by the time these sorts of talks come to the forefront. I do think David Robertson’s days on the low side of a 1 ERA are numbered though, so I hope this front office has the foresight to let Houdini escape.
LIKE TYA ON FACEBOOK
- TYA To Merge With It’s About The Money, Stupid
- What about Kevin Youkilis?
- Teix Now Front And Center On The “Needs To Produce” Radar
- Cashman: Heathcott A Dark Horse Candidate
- A Dog Chasing Cars
- Outfield Trade Targets
- The Problem With Brett Gardner
- A Look At Relief Prospect Branden Pinder
- The Yankees Should Be Realistic, Put Team on Short Leash in 2013
- Briefly discussing the internal options to replace Curtis Granderson
- Brand bc on Briefly discussing the internal options to replace Curtis Granderson
- http://2804lasela.wordpress.com/ on TYA Predictions: Bold predictions for 2012
- the tao of badass pdf on What about Austin Romine?
- Joey Parkhill on Dante Bichette Jr’s Swing
- lululemon factory outlet on Contact Us
- Cary on Will R.A. Dickey’s Knuckleball Succeed In A Domed Stadium?
- Brenna on Links: Prospects, Support for A-Rod, Mariano is Love and Who’s in Center?
- Louis Vuitton Outlet Sale Singapore on The Monthly Prospector: April Edition
- Authentic Louis Vuitton Outlet Store on The Monthly Prospector: June Edition
- Louis Vuitton Outlet San Diego on Banuelos to Undergo Tommy John Surgery, Yankees Prospectors to Undergo Grief Counseling
TagsA.J. Burnett Alex Rodriguez Andy Pettitte Austin Romine Baltimore Orioles Bartolo Colon Boston Red Sox Brett Gardner Brian Cashman Bullpen CC Sabathia Chien-Ming Wang Cliff Lee Curtis Granderson David Robertson Dellin Betances Derek Jeter Francisco Cervelli Freddy Garcia Game Recap Hiroki Kuroda Ivan Nova Javier Vazquez Jesus Montero Joba Chamberlain Joe Girardi Johnny Damon Jorge Posada Manny Banuelos Mariano Rivera Mark Teixeira Melky Cabrera Michael Pineda New York New York Yankees Nick Johnson Nick Swisher Phil Hughes Prospects Rafael Soriano Red Sox Robinson Cano Russell Martin Tampa Bay Rays Yankees