Yesterday, the Yankees announced that they are going to sign Raul Ibanez to a deal worth $1.1M in base salary that can be worth around $4M with incentives. This is a low-risk signing that could have a decent pay off for the Yankees. Ibanez has proven himself to be effective against righties in his career, and even last year he had a 101 wRC+ and a .184 Iso against RHP. This deal will be a success for the Yankees if two things happen: 1. He bats exclusively against right handers. 2. He doesn’t touch the field as a defensive player unless there is an extreme emergency. Since we can (sort of) hint at how the former will be, let’s take a look at that.
The CAIRO projection system from RLYW.net forecasts a .349 wOBA against right handers and that was the highest of the potential DH candidates. I’d sign up for that in a heartbeat, but it could be better as Ibanez has a .363 wOBA against righties in his career. To add another dimension to this, let’s take a look at the Yankee Stadium park factors from StatCorner and apply the to Ibanez. To do so, let’s look at his home splits from 2011 and apply the appropriate increases/decreases to his production. To warn you, we’re going to use a relatively small sample size, but I think it’s worth looking at how a lefty-friendly park will affect Raul. And, to make him look even better, I’m just going to use his stats against righties (I was never Ibanez’s biggest fan, so I’m totally overcompensating for it now).
At Citizen’s Bank Park against right handed pitchers last year, Ibanez hit .282/.324/.518 with 13 doubles, 0 triples, 11 homers, 13 walks, 0 HBP, and 28 strikeouts in 195 at bats. Because he hit 0 triples and was hit by 0 pitches at home against righties, I’m going to take those out of the equation (but I’ll plug them back in at the end to calculate a potential “home vs. RHP line” for Ibanez).
The Park Factors are as follows for LHB in YS3:
K: 107 (7% decrease for the hitter)
BB: 108 (8% increase for the hitter)
1B: 96 (4% decrease for the hitter)
2B: 94 (6% decrease for the hitter)
HR: 143 (43% increase for the hitter)
If we apply those to Ibanez, his line looks like this (remember, we’re assuming the same rates as 195 AB at home vs righties):
29 singles; 12 doubles; 0 triples; 16 home runs; 14 walks; 0 HBP; 26 strikeouts. Let’s spit that out to a line and see what we get: .292/.338/.600. Using those numbers and plugging them in to the wOBA formula, we get a .395 wOBA. It appears that most of this value is added because of the ridiculous home run spike Ibanez could get from playing in the Bronx.
As great as this looks, I’m being a bit simplistic here. I’m not adjusting for anything but park factor and ignoring things like quality of pitchers faced, the fact that Ibanez will be a season older, and the fact that park factors go from the league average; the improvements from Ibanez may not be as drastic. Still, it’s worth thinking about. Despite the fact that Ibanez is changing parks and leagues, he’s coming to a park friendly to his skillset. Hopefully, the Yankees can put him in a position to succeed and set him up to reach the incentives in his contract.
LIKE TYA ON FACEBOOK
- TYA To Merge With It’s About The Money, Stupid
- What about Kevin Youkilis?
- Teix Now Front And Center On The “Needs To Produce” Radar
- Cashman: Heathcott A Dark Horse Candidate
- A Dog Chasing Cars
- Outfield Trade Targets
- The Problem With Brett Gardner
- A Look At Relief Prospect Branden Pinder
- The Yankees Should Be Realistic, Put Team on Short Leash in 2013
- Briefly discussing the internal options to replace Curtis Granderson
- the tao of badass pdf on What about Austin Romine?
- Joey Parkhill on Dante Bichette Jr’s Swing
- lululemon factory outlet on Contact Us
- Cary on Will R.A. Dickey’s Knuckleball Succeed In A Domed Stadium?
- Brenna on Links: Prospects, Support for A-Rod, Mariano is Love and Who’s in Center?
- Louis Vuitton Outlet Sale Singapore on The Monthly Prospector: April Edition
- Authentic Louis Vuitton Outlet Store on The Monthly Prospector: June Edition
- Louis Vuitton Outlet San Diego on Banuelos to Undergo Tommy John Surgery, Yankees Prospectors to Undergo Grief Counseling
- related web site on The Great Subway Race
- get your lover back on Contact Us
TagsA.J. Burnett Alex Rodriguez Andy Pettitte Austin Romine Baltimore Orioles Bartolo Colon Boston Red Sox Brett Gardner Brian Cashman Bullpen CC Sabathia Chien-Ming Wang Cliff Lee Curtis Granderson David Robertson Dellin Betances Derek Jeter Francisco Cervelli Freddy Garcia Game Recap Hiroki Kuroda Ivan Nova Javier Vazquez Jesus Montero Joba Chamberlain Joe Girardi Johnny Damon Jorge Posada Manny Banuelos Mariano Rivera Mark Teixeira Melky Cabrera Michael Pineda New York New York Yankees Nick Johnson Nick Swisher Phil Hughes Prospects Rafael Soriano Red Sox Robinson Cano Russell Martin Tampa Bay Rays Yankees