What do the Yanks see in Sean Burnett?

Earlier this week, the interwebs were abuzz with rumors that the Yankees have their eye on Nats lefty Sean Burnett. At first glance, he doesn’t appear to be all that appealing for a team trying to win the World Series this year. His stuff isn’t anything special, he throws a 90ish fastball that he backs up with a good slider, which is exactly what Boone Logan throws. He’s having a horrible year 3-5 with a 5.76 ERA (4.94 FIP) and a 1.449 WHIP. Hits and walks are up, strikeouts are down, so what’s to like besides the fact that he throws with his left hand?
A few things. First, as often happens with relievers you’re dealing with a tiny snapshot. In this case, 29.2 IP for the 2011 season. A few bad outings can really blow up your numbers, and looking at his game log in 5 of his 40 appearances he’s given up 2 ER or more. Having a good bullpen around him with reliable options backing him up (like Dave Robertson or Mo) can help limit his exposure on nights when he doesn’t have it. But the Nats bullpen is pretty good as well. They’re 6th in NL bullpen ERA and Tyler Clippard is having another outstanding year with Henry Rodriguez and Drew Storen setting him up admirably. If anything, Burnett has dragged down an otherwise fine relief corps.
Burnett would be a classic buy-low candidate, which is smart when it comes to the volatile nature of relievers. He had a terrific year in 2010 (2.14 ERA 1.143 WHIP 8.9 SO/9) and appeared to be building off a solid 2009 (3.12 ERA 1.110 WHIP 6.7 SO/9). There’s no indication he’s hurt, his stuff is pretty much identical to what its been in recent years. So what’s gone wrong this year? Newly minted Nats manager Davey Johnson recently hinted at an answer:
“(Burnett) has been kind of bounced around in the pen,” Johnson said. “He was closing a little bit, he was setting up and he even came in early in the ball game.”
Johnson said he has a new plan for when he wants to use Burnett in games and will go over it with him before Friday’s game with the Colorado Rockies. It may mean Burnett will be more than just the classic lefty specialist.
As often is the case with relievers, it comes down to usage and role. In 2011, he’s had more PAs facing RHB (75) than LHB (57) and the righties have crushed him (.308/.378/.431) while lefties have been largely neutralized (.240/.316/420). Righties have squared him up to the tune of a .333 BABIP while lefties are at just .233 BABIP. That’s not just luck, that’s getting hit harder. After his stellar 2010 campaign it would stand to reason that the Nats would have expanded his role, but it appears to have been more than he could handle. As a low cost LOOGY, he’s worth a shot.
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The Yankees should get Burnett since Logan is their only lefty in the current bullpen, he is no great shakes, who knows if or when Feliciano will be back this year, and who knows if he’ll be good if or when he returns? (I’ve no idea on the status of Feliciano.) Burnett looks like the classic low risk-high reward acquisition. If he’s good enough for the rest of this year where the Yankees bring him and Ayala back for next year, the 2012 bullpen is set assuming Soriano doesn’t opt out after this year: Rivera, Robertson, Soriano, Ayala, Feliciano, Logan, Burnett. Three lefties in the pen would mean the Yankees have two good lefties if one gets hurt or sucks, don’t need to trade for a lefty, and could go with the hot two lefties (Felicano/Burnett, Felicano/Logan, Logan/Burnett, one the primary lefty, the other the secondary lefty for six possible two-lefty combinations.)
The Yanks aren’t bringing Ayala back after this year. I know he is having a good year but Ayala is just like every other middle reliever. He will have his good year and bad years, we are catching him on one of those good ones. The chances of him repeating this for us next year aren’t good. Plus, we have younger relievers to fill that spot. If Noesi isn’t starting for us next year I think he will fill that spot as a jack-of-all-trades guy.
Also, I’ll pass on Sean Burnett. If he is pitching bad for the Nats just imagin how much worse he would be here.
In the game they were scouting he surrendered a home run to Carlos Pena, so he didn’t do himself any favors. I would hope we could find something better, but if it costs nothing it can’t hurt.
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