Let’s get nuts.
Apparently the Rays are thinking about dealing right handed pitcher James Shields. Ken Rosenthal, however, says that an offseason deal is more likely. Let’s first assume that Shields will be available and that, even though we haven’t heard anything, the Yankees are interested. Honestly, why wouldn’t they be? Shields is a good pitcher and does have a fairly manageable contract. Yeah, he’s in division and that might complicate things, but that should never really hold a team back from at least inquiring on a good pitcher.
I’ll run Shields and his contract through the trade value calculator and see what he’s theoretically worth in a trade both now (like I did with Ubaldo Jimenez here; read that post for the relevant background info on the trade value calculator and the prospect values and what not) and projected through the rest of the season.
Going just on what he’s done this season and with his contract going forward (a bunch of club options that would almost be guaranteed to be picked up) and assuming Type-A free agent status, Shields has a value of $37.6M. Using our prospect values, we can say that right now, Shields would be worth Jesus Montero and one other player, presumably a Grade B pitcher like Hector Noesi. Even though Shields is good, that’s a lot to give up for him. I’ve said before that I’d trade Montero in the right package, but I’m not sure I’d do it in a package for Shields. He’s good and pretty cost effective, but I’m still not sure I’d pull that trigger. Would you? Would you do it straight up?
If we plug in Shields’s ZiPS rest of season projections of 90 innings and a 3.55 FIP into this calculator and adjust his salary in the trade value calculator, his value shoots up about $10M to $47.5M, which would (obviously) increase the prospect cost. Again, I’d still be hesitant to give up anything huge for Shields, and that has nothing to do with his pitching for a division rival.
I like James Shields a lot as a pitcher and I think he would definitely help the Yankees. He’s clearly talented, has been a steady performer in a tough division, and has a good, relatively team friendly contract. Despite that, I’m not sure if the theoretical cost here is “cheap” enough for me to want to deal pieces for Shields. I don’t see this one happening.
LIKE TYA ON FACEBOOK
- TYA To Merge With It’s About The Money, Stupid
- What about Kevin Youkilis?
- Teix Now Front And Center On The “Needs To Produce” Radar
- Cashman: Heathcott A Dark Horse Candidate
- A Dog Chasing Cars
- Outfield Trade Targets
- The Problem With Brett Gardner
- A Look At Relief Prospect Branden Pinder
- The Yankees Should Be Realistic, Put Team on Short Leash in 2013
- Briefly discussing the internal options to replace Curtis Granderson
- Louis Vuitton Outlet Sale Singapore on The Monthly Prospector: April Edition
- Authentic Louis Vuitton Outlet Store on The Monthly Prospector: June Edition
- Louis Vuitton Outlet San Diego on Banuelos to Undergo Tommy John Surgery, Yankees Prospectors to Undergo Grief Counseling
- related web site on The Great Subway Race
- get your lover back on Contact Us
- Dorothy Silvan on Pineda’s Torn Labrum, or Does the lemon law apply to baseball?
- tao of badass on Open Thread | Game 3 | Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees | Sunday, April 3, 2011
- tube launch review on Why Has Attendance Fallen Year-To-Year?
- Evon Znidarsic on Teixeira MRI Update, Babe Ruth Pitching In Pinstripes, And Jeter’s Gift Baskets
- Sacramento PC Repair on Yanks finally sign non-Yankee free agent in Russell Martin
TagsA.J. Burnett Alex Rodriguez Andy Pettitte Austin Romine Baltimore Orioles Bartolo Colon Boston Red Sox Brett Gardner Brian Cashman Bullpen CC Sabathia Chien-Ming Wang Cliff Lee Curtis Granderson David Robertson Dellin Betances Derek Jeter Francisco Cervelli Freddy Garcia Game Recap Hiroki Kuroda Ivan Nova Javier Vazquez Jesus Montero Joba Chamberlain Joe Girardi Johnny Damon Jorge Posada Manny Banuelos Mariano Rivera Mark Teixeira Melky Cabrera Michael Pineda New York New York Yankees Nick Johnson Nick Swisher Phil Hughes Prospects Rafael Soriano Red Sox Robinson Cano Russell Martin Tampa Bay Rays Yankees