Is Dellin Betances really injury prone?

Whenever discussing the Yankee farm system, talk quickly gravitates to the Killer B’s. Manny Banuelos has been ranked at the head of the pack by most outlets, due to his age, poise, performance and handedness. Dellin ranks 2nd on most lists, with one notable exception. Yesterday, in his must-read recap of the Yankee farm system Mike Axisa ranked Andrew Brackman ahead of Dellin, despite a wide gap between the two in terms of performance. His main reason for the ranking is an oft-repeated tag that gets applied to Dellin, that he just can’t seem to stay healthy.
But is this true? Is his health history really that different than other Yankee prospects who don’t carry the ‘injury prone’ tag? Let’s compare Dellin’s track record and Andrew Brackman and see if this is justified. First, here’s Dellin’s minor league history:
| Year | Age | Tm | Lev | W | L | ERA | G | GS | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | SO | HBP | BK | WP | WHIP | H/9 | HR/9 | BB/9 | SO/9 | SO/BB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | 18 | Yankees | Rk | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1.16 | 7 | 7 | 23.1 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.900 | 5.4 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 10.4 | 3.86 |
| 2007 | 19 | Staten Island | A- | 1 | 2 | .333 | 3.60 | 6 | 6 | 25.0 | 24 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 17 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.640 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 6.1 | 10.4 | 1.71 |
| 2008 | 20 | 2 Teams | A-Rk | 9 | 5 | .643 | 3.92 | 25 | 24 | 121.2 | 100 | 64 | 53 | 9 | 62 | 141 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 1.332 | 7.4 | 0.7 | 4.6 | 10.4 | 2.27 |
| 2008 | 20 | Yankees | Rk | 0 | 1 | .000 | 8.53 | 3 | 2 | 6.1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2.526 | 18.5 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 8.5 | 2.00 |
| 2008 | 20 | Charleston | A | 9 | 4 | .692 | 3.67 | 22 | 22 | 115.1 | 87 | 57 | 47 | 9 | 59 | 135 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 1.266 | 6.8 | 0.7 | 4.6 | 10.5 | 2.29 |
| 2009 | 21 | Tampa | A+ | 2 | 5 | .286 | 5.48 | 11 | 11 | 44.1 | 48 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 27 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1.692 | 9.7 | 0.4 | 5.5 | 8.9 | 1.63 |
| 2010 | 22 | 2 Teams | A+-AA | 8 | 1 | .889 | 2.11 | 17 | 17 | 85.1 | 53 | 25 | 20 | 4 | 22 | 108 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0.879 | 5.6 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 11.4 | 4.91 |
| 2010 | 22 | Tampa | A+ | 8 | 1 | .889 | 1.77 | 14 | 14 | 71.0 | 43 | 18 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 88 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.873 | 5.5 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 11.2 | 4.63 |
| 2010 | 22 | Trenton | AA | 0 | 0 | 3.77 | 3 | 3 | 14.1 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.907 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 12.6 | 6.67 | |
| 5 Seasons | 20 | 14 | .588 | 3.39 | 66 | 65 | 299.2 | 239 | 134 | 113 | 16 | 135 | 349 | 20 | 5 | 25 | 1.248 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 4.1 | 10.5 | 2.59 | |||
| Rk (2 seasons) | Rk | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2.73 | 10 | 9 | 29.2 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1.247 | 8.2 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 3.30 | ||
| A+ (2 seasons) | A+ | 10 | 6 | .625 | 3.20 | 25 | 25 | 115.1 | 91 | 47 | 41 | 3 | 46 | 132 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 1.188 | 7.1 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 10.3 | 2.87 | ||
| A (1 season) | A | 9 | 4 | .692 | 3.67 | 22 | 22 | 115.1 | 87 | 57 | 47 | 9 | 59 | 135 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 1.266 | 6.8 | 0.7 | 4.6 | 10.5 | 2.29 | ||
| AA (1 season) | AA | 0 | 0 | 3.77 | 3 | 3 | 14.1 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.907 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 12.6 | 6.67 | |||
| A- (1 season) | A- | 1 | 2 | .333 | 3.60 | 6 | 6 | 25.0 | 24 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 17 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.640 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 6.1 | 10.4 | 1.71 | ||
Next, let’s look at Andrew Brackman’s track record in pro ball, including his College days. Here it is:
| Year | Team | Lg | Age | Lvl | Org | W | L | ERA | G | GS | CG | SHO | GF | SV | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | SO | WP | WHIP | H9 | HR9 | BB9 | SO9 | ||||||||||||
| 2005 | NC State | NCAA | 19 | NCAA | - | 4 | 0 | 2.09 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43.0 | 32 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 43 | 3 | 1.16 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 3.8 | 9.0 | ||||||||||||
| 2006 | NC State | NCAA | 20 | NCAA | - | 1 | 3 | 6.35 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28.1 | 37 | 25 | 20 | 2 | 19 | 32 | 7 | 1.98 | 11.8 | 0.6 | 6.0 | 10.2 | ||||||||||||
| 2007 | NC State | NCAA | 21 | NCAA | - | 6 | 4 | 3.81 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 78.0 | 78 | 41 | 33 | 7 | 37 | 74 | 12 | 1.47 | 9.0 | 0.8 | 4.3 | 8.5 | ||||||||||||
| 2009 | Charleston (Sc) | SAL | 23 | A | nyy | 2 | 12 | 5.91 | 29 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 106.2 | 106 | 79 | 70 | 8 | 76 | 103 | 26 | 1.71 | 8.9 | 0.7 | 6.4 | 8.7 | ||||||||||||
| 2010 | Tampa | FSL | 24 | A+ | nyy | 5 | 4 | 5.10 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60.0 | 67 | 38 | 34 | 5 | 9 | 56 | 6 | 1.27 | 10.1 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 8.4 | ||||||||||||
| Trenton | East | 24 | AA | nyy | 5 | 7 | 3.01 | 15 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80.2 | 77 | 38 | 27 | 3 | 30 | 70 | 6 | 1.33 | 8.6 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 7.8 | |||||||||||||
| Minor League Totals | 12 | 23 | 4.77 | 56 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 247 | 250 | 155 | 131 | 16 | 115 | 229 | 38 | 1.48 | 9.10 | 0.58 | 4.18 | 8.3 | |||||||||||||||||
Why does Brackman escape the “injury prone” tag, yet it gets applied to Dellin? Brackman had a much more severe elbow injury (reconstructive/TJ) than Betances (ligament enhancement). Andrew got a late start in baseball, but looking at his first 5 seasons in professional baseball regardless of age he has logged less innings (247 IP) than Dellin (299 IP) did in his initial five. Not only has Dellin logged more innings, but he’s done so at a younger age. Further, he has dominated the minors in a way that Andrew Brackman has yet to do. It is encouraging to see Brackman cross the 140 inning threshold, but the only reason why Betances hasn’t done so was the timing of his injury. Dellin missed parts of two seasons with his elbow injury, while Brackman had TJ surgery immediately after signing with the Yanks and missed the entire 2008 campaign.
One final misconception needs to be cleared up about Dellin Betances. From a BP interview last year:
DL: To close, is there anything you’d like people to know about you?
DB: Just one thing: Everybody thinks I was born in Brooklyn, but I was actually born in Washington Heights—my first home. Then I moved to the lower East Side, to downtown Manhattan, so the lower East Side is my home. You’re probably the first one who knows that. I mean, I love Brooklyn. I played in Brooklyn from age 13, I went to high school in Brooklyn, so it’s like my second home, but the lower East Side is where I started playing baseball. That is one thing that everybody should know.
He’s from Manhattan, not Brooklyn.
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Brackman has pitched 2 straight seasons without getting hurt. Betances has pitched 3 months of one season without getting hurt. That’s the difference. Its a pretty big one.