Way back on February 19th, FanGraphs’s Matt Klaassen wondered if Brett Gardner could do in 2010 what Nyjer Morgan did in 2009. Morgan came out of seemingly no where to post a fWAR of 4.9, fueled mostly by an insanely high 27.6 raw UZR mark.
Morgan’s performance at the plate was nothing to sneeze at either. He hit .307/.369/.388, which led to a .340 wOBA and a 108 wRC+. So, as we’d expect, great defense + above average hitting = high WAR.
Klaassen ended his piece with the following:
Should we expect ~5 WAR from Brett Gardner in 2010? No — that would be insane. But if Nyjer Morgan could do it in 2009, Gardner can in 2010. I suppose the Yankees would even settle for Michael Bourn’s “mere” four win 2009.
To say any of us expected Gardner to be worth 5+ WAR would be lying. But, regardless of our “low” expectations, Gardner ended up posting a 5.4 fWAR. How did he do it and how does it compare to Nyjer Morgan’s 2009?
In the field–Gardner spent most of his time in LF in 2010–Gardner nearly matched Morgan. In 150 games, he posted a raw UZR of 22.0 (21.7 in LF, 0.3 in CF). This is something we see every day with Brett: great defense no matter where he goes on the field. A UZR mark this high will certainly lead to a high WAR. In fact, on fielding alone, Gardner was worth 3.7861 WAR. That’s right–assuming 0 runs offensively, using the FanGraphs system–Gardner’s fielding ALONE nearly made him a four win player. Adding in the offense just bumped him up even more.
Offense is basically a bonus at this point with Gardner. So long as he had hit around league average, he would’ve been incredibly valuable for the Bombers. Brett bested average, though. All in all, Gardner hit .277/.383/.379, .358 wOBA, 123 wRC+ while also stealing 47 bases (Morgan stole 42 in 2009).
So, to answer Klaassen’s question, yes, Brett Gardner was 2010′s Nyjer Morgan, only better. Morgan may have had the slight edge defensively, but Gardner out hit him (and had a handful more PAs) and played great defense himself. This will not likely be the norm for Brett moving forward, but that doesn’t make his 2010 season any less special.
LIKE TYA ON FACEBOOK
- TYA To Merge With It’s About The Money, Stupid
- What about Kevin Youkilis?
- Teix Now Front And Center On The “Needs To Produce” Radar
- Cashman: Heathcott A Dark Horse Candidate
- A Dog Chasing Cars
- Outfield Trade Targets
- The Problem With Brett Gardner
- A Look At Relief Prospect Branden Pinder
- The Yankees Should Be Realistic, Put Team on Short Leash in 2013
- Briefly discussing the internal options to replace Curtis Granderson
- Brand bc on Briefly discussing the internal options to replace Curtis Granderson
- http://2804lasela.wordpress.com/ on TYA Predictions: Bold predictions for 2012
- the tao of badass pdf on What about Austin Romine?
- Joey Parkhill on Dante Bichette Jr’s Swing
- lululemon factory outlet on Contact Us
- Cary on Will R.A. Dickey’s Knuckleball Succeed In A Domed Stadium?
- Brenna on Links: Prospects, Support for A-Rod, Mariano is Love and Who’s in Center?
- Louis Vuitton Outlet Sale Singapore on The Monthly Prospector: April Edition
- Authentic Louis Vuitton Outlet Store on The Monthly Prospector: June Edition
- Louis Vuitton Outlet San Diego on Banuelos to Undergo Tommy John Surgery, Yankees Prospectors to Undergo Grief Counseling
TagsA.J. Burnett Alex Rodriguez Andy Pettitte Austin Romine Baltimore Orioles Bartolo Colon Boston Red Sox Brett Gardner Brian Cashman Bullpen CC Sabathia Chien-Ming Wang Cliff Lee Curtis Granderson David Robertson Dellin Betances Derek Jeter Francisco Cervelli Freddy Garcia Game Recap Hiroki Kuroda Ivan Nova Javier Vazquez Jesus Montero Joba Chamberlain Joe Girardi Johnny Damon Jorge Posada Manny Banuelos Mariano Rivera Mark Teixeira Melky Cabrera Michael Pineda New York New York Yankees Nick Johnson Nick Swisher Phil Hughes Prospects Rafael Soriano Red Sox Robinson Cano Russell Martin Tampa Bay Rays Yankees