A Brief PFx Preview of C.J. Wilson
Tonight, the Yankees will face the second of four left handed pitchers in a row when they take on the Texas Rangers. His name is C.J. Wilson.
He’s pitched in 22 games this year, all starts. He’s thrown 136.1 innings, so that’s about 6.2 innings per start. His ERA looks real good at 3.30 and his FIP is solid at 4.01. His xFIP is 4.59 so he’s a bit above where he “should” be, but he’s done a great job of keeping the ball in the park (0.53 HR/9) so it makes that his FIP is good.
Wilson’s K/9 isn’t overly impressive at 6.80, and it looks even more “meh” when compared to his 4.36 BB/9 (1.56 K/BB). His BAA is a crazy low .216, which comes from another low: his .258 BABIP (.294 career). This is mostly thanks to a 16.1 LD% (19% career). His FB% is at a career high 34.7%, but the low HR/FB (6%, 10% career) is helping him out.
Whatever he’s doing, it’s working. Here’s what he brings to the table:
Texas Leaguers has Wilson down for six different pitches: a four seam fastball, a two seam fastball, a cutter, a slider, a changeup, and a curve.
The two fastballs have a similar velocity, 90.5 on the four seamer and 90.3 on the two seamer, but the two seamer, predictably, has more horizontal movement. The most swings and misses he’s gotten, 12.7%, have come from his slider.
It’s hard to pin exactly what Wilson will attack with since he’s thrown such a variety of pitches. None of his peripherals or in his batted ball profile (GBs/FBs/LDs) really pops out, save for the low LD% and the low HR/FB%. Hopefully, the Yankees can correct those two things and make Wilson’s ERA rise a little bit.
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