Dellin Dealin'
For the several week period while I was out of the country, a lot of exciting things have happened. The draft obviously tops the list, as the Yankees look to have taken a new direction by taking more high-ceiling athletic high school players than they have in past years, including Cito Culver, Angelo Gumbs, and Mason Williams. I was surprised as anyone about the Culver pick, but given the Yankees’ track record at taking the top player on their board in the first round, I will give Damon Oppenheimer the benefit of the doubt. Jesus Montero has continued to struggle in AAA, though his performance has gradually improved. The beginning of the Staten Island and Gulf Coast League seasons, and especially the debut of Gary Sanchez, are also quite intriguing. Nothing has been as exciting, however, in the last few weeks, as the impressive return of Dellin Betances.
22 year-old Dellin Betances has more or less fallen off the prospect radar following a disappointing and injury-shortened 2009, with a 5.48 ERA and 27 walks in 44 1/3 innings (though the 44 strikeouts were a good sign). In his injury-filled career, he was only able to complete a full season once (in 2008), when he threw 121 2/3 innings. After having elbow surgery in 2009, it was easy to dismiss Betances, then 21, as unlikely to ever approach the tantalizing potential that he flashed as a high-ceiling draftee in the ballyhooed 2006 draft class, and in his dominant 23 1/3 inning stint in the Gulf Coast League after signing as an 8th-round pick.
Betances made his season debut for high-A Tampa on June 10 with a stellar outing, giving up 3 hits and a run on 6 hits, with 6 strikeouts. He followed this up with two even better performances on June 15 and June 22nd. On the season, the 6’8″ righty has allowed just one run in 18 innings, with a ridiculous 21:2 strikeout:walk ratio, demonstrating that his stuff and control may be back. Kevin Goldstein had high praise for Betances, writing:
…Just as scary, one of baseball’s most notable high-risk/high-ceiling pitchers is impressing with his stuff as well, sitting comfortably at 93-95 mph with his fastball, throwing his plus curve for strikes, and showcasing a surprisingly solid changeup.”
Betances’ biggest problem (besides health) has been control, and his curveball historically has been inconsistent. If he is commanding the curve and flashing a good changeup to go along with mid-90′s heat, prospect watchers will have to get back on the Betances bandwagon. Obviously it’s premature to get too excited about an 18-inning sample, but if Dellin can keep this up, he could find himself in Trenton. But for now, he makes up part of a strong Tampa pitching staff that includes erratic but improving Andrew Brackman (5.10 ERA on the season, but fanned 11 in 6 innings on June 14), the dominant Graham Stoneburner (1.93 ERA, 39 k’s and. 11 bb’s), and Adam Warren (2.86 ERA, 48:14 k:bb, 2.41 GO/AO). Hopefully he can keep this up.
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Best part re: Brackman is that a lot of his struggles were early on in the year. Last ten starts: 52 IP, 3.80 ERA, 51K, 8(!) and 8 BB. On the year he has a magnificent 6.22 K/BB ratio.
I’m still waiting for Dellin to lose his control and setting myself up for it. Even guys who didn’t have control issues before TJS often struggle when they first return. What Dellin is doing so far just doesn’t make sense, yet is obviously awesome to watch. I hope he keeps it up (with some obvious regression), but won’t be surprised if he hits a rut. No matter what, it’s quite a positive sign.
Afriad you’re even moreo ut of date than you thought: Brackman is at AA.
Chill, yo. He got promoted today.
Brackman’s promotion makes sense. The man has been healthy season-long and could throw 120 innings without problem. Considering Brax is going to turn 25 (damn) before the end of the season, its best to get him facing older hitters.
Betances should spend the rest of the season in Tampa. Man…i hope the NY native stays healthy b/c this kind of velocity and command so right off the cuff have got me excited.
[...] Dellin Dealin’ [...]
I make a point of not getting excited about prospects before I see how they do at AA. I’ll curb my enthusiasm about Brackman, Betances et al. until then. If even one among them (including Noesi, Stoneburner, Warren, and the rest) emerges as a no. 1 or 2 starter in the bigs, I’ll be satisfied.
That’s definitely the right attitude to take.
Scout…
Very well put (as Eric said), AA is where most of the better players are…what I mean by that is; AAA has a lot of players we may call “Fillers”, 29/30+ year olds playing out their time and dream. AA has guys on the cusp of the “Show” and are very hungry, they take no prisoners!