For fun I’ve included what the team’s castaways are doing, and last season’s April stats for the regulars. All the data is for April only, except for OPS+ which includes one day of May.
The nature of those hits has been particularly encouraging. Tex is finding holes in the infield, making contact and getting on base. It’s about time. Mark, never do this again.
As you can see, Tex was projected to have a wOBA right around .400. To put things in perspective, last season his wOBA was .402. Now, ZIPS has updated its wOBA projection for Teixeira to .360, which is less of an offensive contribution than Derek Jeter is projected to give the team.
her ZIPS Update around the All-Star break.
It’s also a bit concerning to see A-Rod’s ZIPS Update wOBA now projected at a rather un-A-Rod-like .383, a pretty significant drop from his .402 average projection (though clearly not as precipitous as Teixeira’s fall).
For those who don’t know, FIP tries to measure how effective a pitcher has been on those things he controls — home runs, strikeouts, etc. It tries to remove the defense from the ERA equation. The stat is informative, but it unduly harms pitchers who rely on a lot of ground balls, like Mariano Rivera. xFIP is actually a forecast of what a pitcher’s FIP is likely to be in the near future, according to The Hardball Times.
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