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This was a thought that I saw posted elsewhere over the last few days, but cannot remember where I saw it first. If this was your point, I apologize for not linking to you.
With Austin Jackson performing incredibly well in Detroit, Ian Kennedy looking good in Arizona, and Arodys Vizcaino getting glowing reviews from scouts, many have suggested that Brian Cashman must be hoping for a regression from these players. As the Yankee ends of these trades struggle, Cashman begins to look bad to those making very hasty evaluations of those deals, and is only escaping significant criticism due to the team’s strong play. It seems only natural that he would want those players to fail, making him look like a genius who consistently wins trades. However, I think that there is a flip side to this situation, one that fans often fail to consider.
After Moneyball was released, Billy Beane supposedly had a hard time making trades with the freedom that he had previously, because the book presented him as a genius that always won trades. Opposing General Managers eventually became wary of dealing with Beane, suspecting that he was fleecing them with overvalued prospects in order to obtain undervalued assets. There is value in having prospects that the team trades work out: it gives the GM some cachet with his peers, as it displays that he is willing to give up talent to obtain talent. This trust will help the GM make deals in the future, as those across the table will know that the team’s prospects are not simply overhyped and may actually have legitimate potential.
As fans, we want our team to win every trade, and I am sure that on some level, Brian Cashman would not mind that result at all. But there is value in having a trade work for the other party as well.
What do you think? Do you want your GM to “win” every trade? Or do you think it is important that some traded assets succeed?
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