Dave Allen at Baseball Analysts compiled the projected standings created by the various projection systems, and created a nifty graph to present the data:
[image title="AL_East" size="full" id="16287" align="center" linkto="full" ]
As you can see, most of the systems have the division finishing in the same order, going Yankees, Red Sox, Rays, Orioles, and Blue Jays. PECOTA is the lone outlier, but they have been tweaking their system the entire spring and the standings have vacillated with each tweak. The data confirms the generally held belief that the division will be a dog fight between three teams, with the other two likely to come in at below 80 wins. On paper, the Yankees are the class of the division by a small margin, but the margin of error on these projections is generally high enough to make that gap close to meaningless. The Yankees may in fact have the best team, but it should be a thrilling race, and I would not be shocked by any order of finish amongst the three AL East powers.
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4 Responses to Graphing The AL East Projections
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TIQ IQ
I like Chone the most. I think they are the best.
If the Yanks win 89 games, then I will pull an Alec Baldwin and move to France.
I dont see the Yankees being 14 games worse than last year, I am thinking about 95 wins
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