[image title="large_alfredo-aceves522" size="full" id="15835" align="center" linkto="full" ]
We have been bandying about the various options that the Yankees have at 5th starter for a while now, and I thought it might be interesting to add some numbers to the discussion. I asked people on Twitter to provide projections for each player in each role, assuming that they spent the entire season in that role. Fangraphs currently does something similar with projections, and noted sabermatrician Tom Tango is a major believer in crowdsourcing. Small sample size and sampling issues definitely apply, but I think the averaged projected performances are quite reasonable. Thank you to everyone who participated. These were the results:
As Starters (bottom row is the average)
[image title="Picture 1" size="full" id="15828" align="center" linkto="full" ]
As Relievers (bottom row is the average)
[image title="Picture 2" size="full" id="15829" align="center" linkto="full" ]
As you can see, this leaves us with the following permutations, assuming all three make the club:
[image title="Picture 3" size="full" id="15830" align="center" linkto="full" ]
So, what does this all mean? It suggests that Yankees fans believe that all three permutations will be fairly effective, and that there is really not much of a difference between the options. In fact, if you add a slightly above replacement level pitcher (say, Sergio Mitre) to option #3 to make up the innings that it lacks relative to option #1, #1 and #3 are practically identical. Even option #2, which lags a bit behind even before the replacement level innings are added, still only shows a difference of 5-6 runs over an entire season, which is equivalent to about half a win. Based on these numbers, it would make sense for the Yankees to have either Joba or Hughes in the rotation for developmental reasons. Since the computed difference to the club in 2010 would be marginal at best, the Yankees can consider developmental concerns when choosing a 5th starter.
LIKE TYA ON FACEBOOK
- TYA To Merge With It’s About The Money, Stupid
- What about Kevin Youkilis?
- Teix Now Front And Center On The “Needs To Produce” Radar
- Cashman: Heathcott A Dark Horse Candidate
- A Dog Chasing Cars
- Outfield Trade Targets
- The Problem With Brett Gardner
- A Look At Relief Prospect Branden Pinder
- The Yankees Should Be Realistic, Put Team on Short Leash in 2013
- Briefly discussing the internal options to replace Curtis Granderson
- essentialtexting.com on Open Thread | Game 3 | Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees | Sunday, April 3, 2011
- www25.tok2.com on Sabermetrics Doesn’t Have A Monopoly on Not-Stupid: Mike Trout is the AL MVP
- グッチ 財布 on Sunday Links-Joba’s Timetable, Comparing eras, Pineda
- raspberry ketone diet 1200 on Sabermetrics Doesn’t Have A Monopoly on Not-Stupid: Mike Trout is the AL MVP
- Free riot codes on Off-Topic
- Fran on The Great Subway Race
- sleeping bag hand Orientation on What about Austin Romine?
- camping stove heat diffuser on What about Austin Romine?
- 手機殼 on The Yankees’ Standing In The AL East Right Now
- 手機外殼 on The Yankees’ Standing In The AL East Right Now
TagsA.J. Burnett Alex Rodriguez Andy Pettitte Austin Romine Baltimore Orioles Bartolo Colon Boston Red Sox Brett Gardner Brian Cashman Bullpen CC Sabathia Chien-Ming Wang Cliff Lee Curtis Granderson David Robertson Dellin Betances Derek Jeter Francisco Cervelli Freddy Garcia Game Recap Hiroki Kuroda Ivan Nova Javier Vazquez Jesus Montero Joba Chamberlain Joe Girardi Johnny Damon Jorge Posada Manny Banuelos Mariano Rivera Mark Teixeira Melky Cabrera Michael Pineda New York New York Yankees Nick Johnson Nick Swisher Phil Hughes Prospects Rafael Soriano Red Sox Robinson Cano Russell Martin Tampa Bay Rays Yankees