I think this would be a terrible trade for the Yankees. Arroyo has been bad on the road and at home for the Reds. However, before condemning, let me try and understand the Yankees’ thinking for a moment. Over the past 3 seasons in particular, Arroyo has become a second-half performer. His post-AS splits include a 3.90 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP and a .254 BAA. Last season, he posted a 5.97 ERA prior to the All-Star break, and then put together a 3.47 ERA after the All-Star break. The Yankees are probably interested in those numbers.
Soon after Fletcher’s report, it was reported that the Yankees were never truly interested in Arroyo, as there were a few payroll and performance-related concerns. The team has since added Chad Gaudin, Russ Ortiz and Jason Hirsh for depth, while Sergio Mitre remains in the rotation. However, in hindsight, maybe trading for Arroyo would have helped solidify the Yankee rotation.
Since the break, Arroyo has delivered on his second-half status, tossing 41 2/3 innings of very solid baseball. In fact, last night, he pitched a complete game (against the Nationals, but still, it’s a CG), lowering his second-half ERA to 3.02 (1.15 WHIP). Of course, Arroyo has pitched against the Padres, Giants and Nationals since the break, which explains some of his success, but against teams like Oakland, Baltimore and Toronto—teams which Sergio Mitre has faced—I think he could have been as effective.
The Yankees could still make a move for Arroyo since he has cleared waivers, however, his contract is sizeable (he’s owed $11 million in 2010 and has a $2 million buyout for 2011). If they were going to trade for him, it probably would have been best to do it prior to his noticable resurgence so that Cincinnati would have taken on a chunk of his salary and settled for a middling prospect (or prospects). His value has risen, though (although not significantly so), and with that I ask would he be a worthwhile target—given his history—or should Mitre (with Gaudin in tow) continue to get the nod?
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