John Manuel over at BA compiled a list of “untouchable” prospects, players who are too valuable to their current clubs to be included in a deal. Jesus Montero made the list:
• Jesus Montero, c/dh, Yankees
Tapioca download Scouts who cover the Yankees organization are fond of saying the team over-values its own prospects, but the scouting consensus is that Montero is the real deal. He has premium raw power and pure hitting ability to go with it. If he can catch, he could have a Mike Piazza-esque career. More than likely, he’s New York’s future DH, and the Yankees’ asking price for him is prohibitive.
How good a hitter is Montero right now, as one of the youngest players in AA? Jim Callis had this to say:
Based solely on his bat, how soon could Jesus Montero hold his own in the majors? What do you think his “slashline” would look like if he were promoted today?
Jim Callis (2:22 PM)
He could probably hold his own in the majors offensively right now, hit around .250 with some power.
Wow. That is fairly high praise from a guy who is not quick to throw hyperbolic statements out there. Now the question is, should Montero be untouchable? This what our own Steve S. had to say last week
, riffing off an excellent BTB article on prospect valuation that I encourage you to check out:
download Halo Wars So according to his player valuation models, Jesus Montero ALONE would be overpaying Roy Halladay’s present market value to a team by approximately DOUBLE. This goes a long way toward explaining why players tend to go for far less than the rumors that get floated in the weeks leading up to the trade deadline.
Basically, sending Montero to the Jays for Halladay would be overpaying. While I am loathe to call any prospect untouchable, trading Montero would only make sense if you were getting a young superstar in return. Those are the kinds of players that rarely hit the trade market, suggesting that Montero may in practice actually be untouchable.
What do you think? Should Jesus Montero be untouchable?
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