I hate to burst the bubble on the frenzy that has built up over the last few days, but Roy Halladay is not going to be traded to the Yankees. I have a few reasons for this belief, but the strongest one is that the Yankees are unlikely to pay the premium that it will take to get Halladay to a team within their division. As I have stated before, I would not consider Joba Chamberlain or Jesus Montero in any move, and would only include Phil Hughes or Robinson Cano if the rest of the deal was properly watered down. While Halladay is without a doubt the best pitcher in baseball, he is also 32 years old and a free agent in 1.5 seasons. Joel Sherman spoke to
JP Piccardi, and got this important bit of information:
Ricciardi said he would not allow a team a 24-72-hour window to negotiate a contract extension. He said this trade would be only for what remains on Halladay’s contract, which runs through next year with a 2010 salary of $15.75 million.
This essentially makes Halladay less attractive than Johan Santana was. The Mets got a year of Johan, who was younger than Halladay is now, and they also had the chance to negotiate an extension with him prior to signing off on the trade. If Brian Cashman was unwilling to trade his top prospects then, I doubt he would move them within the division now. Finally, the price in prospects is certain to be high, with a deal headlined by Austin Jackson, Austin Romine, or Zach McCallister almost certainly too light on premium talent:
What kind of deal would it take to get Halladay: “Imagine you have a house worth $500,000 and weren’t really interested in selling it, but someone offered $1.2 million. That would make you at least listen. So if someone is that motivated we will listen.”
Basically, for a trade to be made, Brian Cashman would need to change his stance on trading prospects for a pitcher that will require an extension within a year or so, and then trade said prospects within the division. It is inconceivable to think that he is going to trade the first ace type pitcher or middle of the order hitter that the Yankees have developed in a long time to a team that the Yankees would have to play 19 times a year. If Riccardi changed his stance and was willing to consider a Hughes, Jackson, and Betances type deal, I think a match could be made. Otherwise, this whole ruckus is just idle wishful thinking, and Yankee fans need to cross their fingers and hope that Boston does not decide to part with Clay Buchholz and Lars Anderson.
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