In an interview over at DRay’s Bay, Will Carroll, the injury guru of Baseball Prospectus, made some startling comments regarding Joba Chamberlain‘s ceiling and ideal role.
A few months ago, Carroll offered a unique perspective regarding Chamberlain’s innings limit by projecting the 23 year-old could toss 170 innings this year without concerns.
During this interview however, in responding to a question about David Price, Carroll had some peculiar predictions in terms of Joba’s role and the type of ceiling he could have as a starter:
It’s funny because with Chamberlain, I think he’s a better RP than SP, but think he’ll end up as an SP. By that I mean that as an RP, he’s probably one of the best in the game, right now. He would be dominant, would take over the closer role eventually, and is probably as good as Papelbon. As an SP, he’s going to be good, a solid #3, but never dominant.
Really, a #3 starter? Never dominant? For a split-second I laughed to myself thinking maybe “RP” stood for righthanded pitcher and “SP” meant switchpitcher. What else could constitute such a pedestrian projection for a guy who has two plus to plus-plus pitches, an above-average to plus curveball and a serviceable changeup?
Does Will remember the type of domination Chamberlain showed last year as a starter. To refresh his memory, Joba threw 65.1 innings, struck out 74 batters, walked 25 and posted a 2.76 ERA while in the rotation. Over his last five starts he had a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 37-to-4 over 31.1 innings. If that’s not the work of a frontline starter, I don’t know what is.
And there are a couple questions I would like to pose to Mr. Carroll following his and other writers’ comments regarding Chamberlain.
Why is it, that Price isn’t considered for the closing job in Tampa Bay? Price debuted in the big leagues and filled a hole for the Rays by coming out of the bullpen during the stretch-run of the season. Just like Joba. However, unlike Joba, Tampa’s lefthander did not have the assurance of Mariano Rivera closing games. They do, however, have an injury prone reclamation project (Troy Percival) currently projected as their 9th inning guy.
Furthermore, Price has made only one start in his career up to this point. Not to say he will not succeed as a starter because Price has frontline starter written all him. But, he missed more time with an elbow issue last year than Joba did during his entire bout with shoulder tendinitis, yet only one is deemed an injury prone mess.
To say Price is a better bet than Joba in the rotation is debatable. To say he has ace potential and Chamberlain does not is asinine.
LIKE TYA ON FACEBOOK
- TYA To Merge With It’s About The Money, Stupid
- What about Kevin Youkilis?
- Teix Now Front And Center On The “Needs To Produce” Radar
- Cashman: Heathcott A Dark Horse Candidate
- A Dog Chasing Cars
- Outfield Trade Targets
- The Problem With Brett Gardner
- A Look At Relief Prospect Branden Pinder
- The Yankees Should Be Realistic, Put Team on Short Leash in 2013
- Briefly discussing the internal options to replace Curtis Granderson
- Brand bc on Briefly discussing the internal options to replace Curtis Granderson
- http://2804lasela.wordpress.com/ on TYA Predictions: Bold predictions for 2012
- the tao of badass pdf on What about Austin Romine?
- Joey Parkhill on Dante Bichette Jr’s Swing
- lululemon factory outlet on Contact Us
- Cary on Will R.A. Dickey’s Knuckleball Succeed In A Domed Stadium?
- Brenna on Links: Prospects, Support for A-Rod, Mariano is Love and Who’s in Center?
- Louis Vuitton Outlet Sale Singapore on The Monthly Prospector: April Edition
- Authentic Louis Vuitton Outlet Store on The Monthly Prospector: June Edition
- Louis Vuitton Outlet San Diego on Banuelos to Undergo Tommy John Surgery, Yankees Prospectors to Undergo Grief Counseling
TagsA.J. Burnett Alex Rodriguez Andy Pettitte Austin Romine Baltimore Orioles Bartolo Colon Boston Red Sox Brett Gardner Brian Cashman Bullpen CC Sabathia Chien-Ming Wang Cliff Lee Curtis Granderson David Robertson Dellin Betances Derek Jeter Francisco Cervelli Freddy Garcia Game Recap Hiroki Kuroda Ivan Nova Javier Vazquez Jesus Montero Joba Chamberlain Joe Girardi Johnny Damon Jorge Posada Manny Banuelos Mariano Rivera Mark Teixeira Melky Cabrera Michael Pineda New York New York Yankees Nick Johnson Nick Swisher Phil Hughes Prospects Rafael Soriano Red Sox Robinson Cano Russell Martin Tampa Bay Rays Yankees